Rep. Mike Lawler, R-N.Y., joins ‘Mornings with Maria’ to debate the lethal ICE taking pictures in Minneapolis, escalating tensions over sanctuary metropolis insurance policies and requires higher cooperation with federal immigration enforcement.
Merchants on prediction platforms Kalshi and Polymarket are betting that the federal authorities will shut down this weekend.
In keeping with Kalshi’s market knowledge, merchants assign a 75% likelihood that the shutdown begins on Saturday, up 64 share factors during the last two days.
Buying and selling quantity, or the overall greenback quantity wagered in the marketplace, stands at simply over $8.6 million.
SENATE DEMOCRATS THREATEN SHUTDOWN BY BLOCKING DHS FUNDING AFTER MINNESOTA ICE SHOOTING
A screenshot of a Kalshi wager on if the U.S. authorities will shut down on Saturday. (Kalshi)
In the meantime, merchants on Polymarket place the percentages at 79%, up 70 share factors over the identical interval.
About $8.5 million has been wagered on that wager.
Whereas odds on these markets don’t function formal forecasts, they do present a real-time snapshot of dealer expectations.
A screenshot of a Polymarket wager on whether or not the U.S. authorities will shut down on Saturday. (Polymarket)
Since 1976, the U.S. authorities has shut down 21 occasions.
The longest shutdown, a 43-day standoff, was triggered by Senate Democrats who demanded that Republicans and President Donald Trump negotiate an answer to expiring Obamacare subsidies.
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The U.S. Capitol is seen after a winter storm swept via the area in Washington, D.C., on Jan. 26, 2026. (Mandel Ngan/AFP by way of Getty Photographs)
The most recent revelation comes as Senate Democrats threaten to withhold Division of Homeland Safety funding following the demise of a second U.S. citizen in Minnesota.
On Saturday, 37-year-old Alex Jeffrey Pretti, a Minneapolis nurse, was fatally shot by a U.S. Border Patrol agent throughout a federal immigration enforcement operation.
Division of Homeland Safety (DHS) officers stated Pretti approached brokers whereas armed with a 9mm pistol and two magazines and “violently resisted” when officers tried to disarm him, prompting one agent to fireside.
He was shot a number of occasions and pronounced useless on the scene. State officers later confirmed Pretti had a lawful allow to hold the firearm.
