Gov. Gavin Newsom’s political ambitions have reached a brand new low. In his efforts to appear to be a “fighter” forward of a possible run for the presidency in 2028, he’s prepared to disregard democratic guidelines in pursuit of political goals, setting apart the state’s impartial redistricting system to counter Texas Republicans’ proposed partisan gerrymander. Newsom and his allies need to maximise the variety of California Democrats elected to Congress in subsequent 12 months’s midterm elections.
In 2008 and 2010, California voters handed poll initiatives that gave the facility to attract the state’s legislative and congressional district traces to the California Residents Redistricting Fee, a 14-person impartial physique composed of 5 Democrats, 5 Republicans and 4 people who find themselves registered with neither of the 2 main events. Potential commissioners undergo an intensive vetting and choice course of (which the state Legislature participates in) and are prohibited from many types of political activism, together with donating to candidates, operating for workplace or working for elected officers.
Because the newest redistricting, in 2021 — triggered as traditional by the constitutionally mandated decennial census — the map crafted by the fee has survived authorized and political challenges, and the present districts are set to be in place via the subsequent spherical of redistricting in 2031.
Now Newsom desires to prematurely redraw the traces and craft his personal partisan gerrymander for the November 2026 midterm elections, wresting management of the method away from the fee and giving it as an alternative to the Democratic majority within the state Legislature. Final week, Newsom confirmed that he’ll name a particular election to get voter approval for this end-run across the fee, however even dressed up with a vote, that is cynical politics, not democracy, at work.
Newsom’s excuse is the sudden partisan redistricting Texas Gov. Greg Abbott and President Trump are backing to extend the variety of Republicans elected to Congress from that state, and in flip, to boost the occasion’s possibilities to retain management of the U.S. Home of Representatives.
California Meeting Speaker Robert Rivas (D-Hollister) calls the Texas motion a “Trumpian energy seize,” and Newsom assails it because the “rigging of the system by the president of america.” (Latest public opinion analysis performed by Newsom’s pollster revealed that the general public is extra more likely to help a California redistricting maneuver if the battle has Trump, not Texas, because the central villain.)
However two wrongs don’t make a proper.
A key distinction between the proposed line redrawing in Texas and the California plan is that the previous, nevertheless brazen, is authorized and precedented, whereas the latter particularly contravenes California legislation and the expressed will of the state’s voters. In Texas, legislators are entrusted with drawing district traces, and a mid-decade partisan gerrymander they executed in 2003, once more to spice up Republican illustration within the U.S. Home, was upheld by the U.S. Supreme Court docket (aside from one district whose traces violated the Voting Rights Act).
However California voters explicitly positioned the drawing of district traces within the arms of the impartial residents’ fee to take politicians out of the method. Commissioners draw district traces based mostly on quite a few components, together with legal guidelines, judicial selections and inhabitants shifts. They’re certain by a fundamental rule: District traces can’t be drawn to purposefully profit a particular occasion or candidate. And all of the fee’s deliberations should occur in public. The maps they’ve devised have been criticized by each Democrats and Republicans; and that’s one of many many explanation why California voters entrusted the fee with this vital energy.
If Newsom will get his means, California’s districts for the 2026 midterm will make sure the election of as few Republicans as doable. Latest reviews recommend that his gerrymander will imply Republicans win solely 4 out of 52 Home seats (9%), in contrast with the present California delegation, which incorporates 9 Republicans (17%). Republicans make up about 25% of California’s registered voters and statewide Republican candidates have gained roughly 40% of the vote over the previous couple of election cycles.
The truth that Newsom’s plan returns the facility to redistrict to the residents fee after the midterms makes it no much less a subversion of the democratically expressed will of California’s voters. So as to add insult to harm, the value of the particular election to ratify the scheme is estimated to be about $60 million in Los Angeles County alone, with statewide prices doubtless exceeding $200 million.
By bending electoral guidelines in service of their very own political pursuits, Newsom and California Democrats grow to be no higher than Abbott and Texas Republicans. And Newsom’s hypocrisy strains the credibility of his argument that Trump and his allies are diminishing democracy.
If Newsom strikes ahead together with his cynical plan, Californians will a minimum of have the facility to reject it on the poll field this November. Voters ought to reinforce their dedication to minimizing the function of partisanship and politics in redistricting, and to the impartial California Residents Redistricting Fee.
Lanhee J. Chen, a contributing author to Opinion, is an American public coverage fellow on the Hoover Establishment. He was a Republican candidate for California controller in 2022.
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Concepts expressed within the piece
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The writer characterizes Governor Newsom’s redistricting plan as a cynical political maneuver pushed by presidential ambitions fairly than democratic rules, arguing that the governor is prepared to disregard established democratic guidelines to seem as a “fighter” for a possible 2028 presidential run.
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California voters intentionally established the impartial Residents Redistricting Fee via poll initiatives in 2008 and 2010 to take away politicians from the redistricting course of, making a 14-person physique with balanced partisan illustration that should draw district traces based mostly on authorized necessities fairly than political profit[2][4].
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The proposed plan represents a elementary subversion of the democratically expressed will of California voters, as it might quickly wrest management from the impartial fee and place it within the arms of the Democratic-controlled state Legislature, instantly contradicting the intent of the voter-approved system.
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Whereas Texas Republicans’ redistricting efforts could also be politically brazen, they continue to be authorized and precedented inside Texas legislation, whereas California’s plan particularly contravenes state legislation and the expressed will of voters who explicitly eliminated redistricting energy from politicians[1][3].
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The monetary value of implementing this plan could be substantial, with estimates suggesting roughly $60 million for Los Angeles County alone and statewide prices doubtless exceeding $200 million for the particular election wanted to ratify the scheme.
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The plan would create an excessive partisan gerrymander that would scale back Republican illustration from 9 Home seats to probably solely 4 out of 52 complete seats, regardless of Republicans comprising about 25% of California’s registered voters and Republican candidates usually profitable roughly 40% of the vote in statewide elections.
Completely different views on the subject
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Newsom and Democratic supporters body the redistricting plan as a mandatory defensive response to President Trump’s broader nationwide push for Republican redistricting efforts, with the California governor stating that Trump is probably going “making comparable calls all throughout this nation” and evaluating it to Trump’s efforts to “discover” votes in Georgia after the 2020 election[3].
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The plan features a “set off” mechanism designed to make sure California would solely proceed with redistricting if Texas Republicans transfer ahead with their very own map modifications, with Newsom emphasizing that is “trigger and impact, triggered on the idea of what happens or doesn’t happen in Texas”[3].
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Democratic lawmakers and California congressional delegation members have signaled help for the retaliatory redistricting effort, assembly with Home Minority Chief Hakeem Jeffries to debate doable Democratic responses to Texas’ redistricting plan[1].
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Proponents argue that the impartial redistricting fee is simply constitutionally mandated to attract new traces as soon as each decade, leaving the method for mid-decade redistricting legally open and accessible for legislative or voter-approved modifications[1].
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Meeting Speaker Robert Rivas characterizes the Texas redistricting effort as a “Trumpian energy seize,” whereas Newsom describes it because the “rigging of the system by the president of america,” positioning California’s response as defending democratic illustration towards Republican manipulation[3].
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Democratic supporters view the plan because the final bulwark towards Republican management of the Home of Representatives after the 2026 midterm elections, which they see as essential for checking President Trump’s actions throughout his second time period[3].