Welcome again to World Temporary, the place we’re India putting a commerce take care of the United States, the reopening of Gaza’s Rafah border crossing, and a presidential election in Costa Rica.
Slashing Tariffs
The US and India have struck a commerce deal, U.S. President Donald Trump introduced on Monday, ending a monthslong stalemate in bilateral commerce talks whilst international powers are attempting to reduce their financial dependence on Washington.
Efficient instantly, the USA will cut back the overall U.S. tariffs on India from 50 % to 18 %—eliminating the 25 % responsibility imposed on New Delhi for its continued buying of Russian oil and lowering Trump’s 25 % reciprocal tariff by 7 proportion factors.
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi “agreed to cease shopping for Russian Oil, and to purchase way more from the USA and, doubtlessly, Venezuela,” Trump posted on Fact Social on Monday. “Our wonderful relationship with India can be even stronger going ahead.”
In trade, India will minimize its duties on U.S. items to zero and can decide to “purchase American” at the next degree, together with by investing greater than $500 billion in U.S. agriculture, coal, vitality, and know-how, amongst others. “When two massive economies and the world’s largest democracies work collectively, it advantages our individuals and unlocks immense alternatives for mutually useful cooperation,” Modi posted on X.
Commerce talks between the 2 international locations stalled final yr over India’s refusal to cease buying Russian crude. Even after the USA imposed secondary tariffs final August to attempt to stress New Delhi to terminate its relationship with Moscow, India continued importing roughly 1.5 million barrels of Russian oil every day, in response to world commerce information tracker Kpler.
However new stress on the USA within the type of final week’s “mom of all offers” between India and the European Union could have incentivized the White Home to reignite commerce talks. After almost 20 years, Brussels and New Delhi clinched a monumental free commerce settlement final Tuesday that aimed to lower each economies’ dependence on the USA. They be a part of a bigger shift in world commerce coverage equally working to counter Trump’s commerce struggle.
Monday’s U.S.-India deal seems to be a direct response to that rising development, as Trump makes an attempt to stroll a line between his strong-arm commerce insurance policies and his reluctance to isolate the U.S. financial system from its largest companions.
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The World This Week
Tuesday, Feb. 3: Trump hosts Colombian President Gustavo Petro.
Wednesday, Feb. 4: U.S., Russian, and Ukrainian officers start two-day trilateral talks within the United Arab Emirates.
Thursday, Feb. 5: The New START Treaty between the USA and Russia is ready to run out.
Friday, Feb. 6: The 2026 Winter Olympics kick off in Italy.
Saturday, Feb. 7: The mandate for Haiti’s presidential transitional council expires.
Sunday, Feb. 8: Thailand holds a basic election.
Japan holds snap parliamentary elections.
Portugal holds a presidential election runoff.
Israeli President Isaac Herzog begins a five-day journey to Australia.
What We’re Following
Entry by way of Rafah. Israel reopened Gaza’s Rafah border crossing into Egypt on Monday, fulfilling one of many remaining main necessities of the U.S.-brokered cease-fire deal’s first section. Preliminary experiences recommend that solely a restricted variety of Palestinians have handed by way of the crossing throughout its first day in operation, as vital restrictions are positioned on individuals hoping to cross.
Rafah is the primary route in or out of Gaza for the area’s greater than 2 million residents. Previous to its closure in Could 2024, round 100,000 Palestinians had exited Gaza by way of this hall. However for a lot of the Israel-Hamas struggle, the crossing remained closed, proscribing Palestinians from accessing important help and medical remedy. Israel has stated that Hamas has used the crossing for smuggling weapons. Final week, Israel lastly agreed to reopen the border following the return of the stays of an Israeli killed throughout Hamas’s Oct. 7, 2023, assault.
It’s unclear what number of Palestinians can be allowed to go by way of the Rafah crossing. Final week, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that solely round 50 individuals can be allowed to enter Gaza day by day, although “we aren’t going to stop anybody from leaving.” Assist deliveries won’t be permitted by way of the hall right now.
Conservative win. On Sunday, Costa Ricans elected right-wing populist Laura Fernández to be the nation’s subsequent president. The electoral success of the 39-year-old candidate, handpicked by outgoing President Rodrigo Chaves, marks the newest victory for Latin America’s conservatives, who’ve matched Trump’s immigration crackdown with their very own tough-on-crime insurance policies.
Early outcomes confirmed Fernández (who would be the nation’s second lady president) getting greater than 48 % of the vote, giving her sufficient help to keep away from a runoff. Fernández has vowed to proceed Chaves’s platform, together with his determination final yr to simply accept deported migrants from the USA; Chaves was ineligible to run within the 2026 election, as Costa Rica’s structure prohibits consecutive presidential phrases.
Fernández will take workplace in Could. She follows within the footsteps of a number of profitable right-wing candidates, together with Honduran President Nasry Asfura, who took workplace final week after Trump personally endorsed his marketing campaign, and Chilean President-elect José Antonio Kast, who is predicted to start his time period in March.
Keen to speak? Iran and the USA will meet on Friday for negotiations in Turkey following a U.S. army buildup within the area.
U.S. particular envoy Steve Witkoff will meet Iranian International Minister Abbas Araghchi in Istanbul, Reuters reported, citing officers from the 2 international locations. Different regional nations can even attend the conferences. On Monday, Witkoff was set to fulfill with Netanyahu and Lt. Gen. Eyal Zamir, a prime Israeli army official who was lately in Washington to debate Iran.
Trump has reportedly pressed for vital concessions from Iran, together with no additional enrichment of uranium, stopping help for proxy forces within the Center East, and restrictions on its missile program. An Iranian official quoted by Reuters stated that Iran was prepared to be versatile on uranium enrichment.
On Monday, Iran individually protested a European Union determination to designate the nation’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist group because of its latest repression of Iranian protesters. The EU determination follows a 2019 determination by the USA to label the IRGC as a terrorist group.—Sam Skove
Lethal assault in Balochistan. Pakistan’s separatist Balochistan Liberation Military (BLA) launched a coordinated operation on Saturday that killed almost 50 individuals. The militants “got here in dressed as civilians and indiscriminately focused abnormal individuals working in retailers,” Pakistani Inside Minister Talal Chaudhry stated, including that the fighters used human shields.
In response, Pakistani safety forces confirmed on Sunday that that they had killed a minimum of 145 individuals related to the separatist group within the southwestern Balochistan province. In line with Balochistan Chief Minister Sarfraz Bugti, the variety of fighters killed over the course of two days was the highest in many years. Pakistani authorities additionally imposed new safety restrictions on the area, together with bans on gathering and carrying face coverings in public areas.
Balochistan is Pakistan’s poorest province and has confronted many years of bloody battle between BLA members and state troops. On Sunday, Bugti accused Afghanistan and India of backing the militants, repeating previous claims that BLA fighters function out of Afghan territory with Indian help. Nevertheless, each Kabul and New Delhi have denied these allegations.
Odds and Ends
Pour your self a Moscow mule and have fun the primary time {that a} Spanish-language album has received the Grammy’s prime prize. On Sunday, Puerto Rican artist Dangerous Bunny received the Album of the Yr award for his critically acclaimed Debí Tirar Más Fotos. “I wish to dedicate this award to all of the individuals who needed to depart their homeland to comply with their goals,” Dangerous Bunny stated in English throughout his acceptance speech. Different Grammy winners additionally criticized U.S. immigration forces in the course of the ceremony.

