PAGASA warns of heavy to intense rain in Isabela, Aurora, and Quirino in its 11 pm advisory on Tuesday, September 16, as Tropical Despair Mirasol approaches
MANILA, Philippines – Tropical Despair Mirasol maintained its energy because it headed for the Isabela-Aurora space late Tuesday night, September 16.
As of 10 pm on Tuesday, Mirasol was already 95 kilometers east of Baler, Aurora, or 65 kilometers southeast of Casiguran, Aurora.
The tropical despair barely slowed down, now shifting west at 20 kilometers per hour after earlier shifting northwest at 25 km/h.
It continues to have most sustained winds of 55 km/h and gustiness of as much as 70 km/h.
The Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Providers Administration (PAGASA) nonetheless sees Mirasol presumably making landfall in Isabela or the northern a part of Aurora by Wednesday morning, September 17.
PAGASA issued an up to date rainfall outlook for the tropical despair at 11 pm on Tuesday, warning that rain within the subsequent 24 hours might attain intense ranges in no less than three provinces. Extra areas in Northern Luzon had been added, too.
Tuesday night, September 16, to Wednesday night, September 17
- Heavy to intense rain (100-200 millimeters): Isabela, Quirino, Aurora
- Average to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Cagayan, Ifugao, Mountain Province, Kalinga, Apayao
Wednesday night, September 17, to Thursday night, September 18
- Average to heavy rain (50-100 mm): Batanes, Cagayan, Apayao, Ilocos Norte
Floods and landslides are doable.
Other than important rain, Mirasol is bringing robust winds. The next areas are underneath Sign No. 1 as of 11 pm on Tuesday:
- Batanes
- Cagayan together with Babuyan Islands
- Isabela
- Quirino
- northern and jap elements of Nueva Vizcaya (Diadi, Quezon, Kasibu, Dupax del Norte, Bambang, Ambaguio, Bayombong, Solano, Villaverde, Bagabag, Alfonso Castañeda, Dupax del Sur)
- northern and central elements of Aurora (Dilasag, Casiguran, Dinalungan, Dipaculao, Baler, Maria Aurora, San Luis)
- Apayao
- Abra
- Kalinga
- Mountain Province
- Ifugao
- Ilocos Norte
- northern a part of Ilocos Sur (Sinait, Cabugao, San Juan, Magsingal, Santo Domingo, Bantay, San Vicente, San Ildefonso, Santa Catalina, Vigan Metropolis, Caoayan, Santa)
- Polillo Islands
- northern a part of Camarines Norte (Capalonga, Jose Panganiban, Paracale, Vinzons)
On Wednesday, the seaboards of Cagayan, Babuyan Islands, Batanes, Isabela, and Aurora, in addition to the northern seaboard of Ilocos Norte, can have as much as reasonable seas.
The climate bureau suggested small vessels to take precautionary measures or keep away from crusing, if doable, as waves may be as much as 2.5 meters excessive.
If Mirasol’s motion shifts extra north northwest or north within the coming hours, PAGASA mentioned there’s a chance that the tropical despair may not make landfall. As a substitute, it might simply transfer over the coastal waters of Northern Luzon and Central Luzon.
From Wednesday night to Thursday morning, September 18, Mirasol could “re-emerge over the Luzon Strait,” then go away the Philippine Space of Accountability (PAR) on Thursday afternoon or night.
When it comes to depth, the tropical despair might both preserve its energy or barely weaken whereas crossing the landmass of Northern Luzon.
However Mirasol could intensify right into a tropical storm over the Luzon Strait by Thursday morning, and subsequently right into a extreme tropical storm outdoors PAR by Friday, September 19.

Mirasol is the Philippines’ thirteenth tropical cyclone for 2025. Additionally it is the third tropical cyclone for September, after Tropical Despair Kiko and Tropical Despair Lannie, which had been each inside PAR for just a few hours. PAGASA had estimated two to 4 tropical cyclones in the course of the month.
In the meantime, the low stress space west of Calapan Metropolis, Oriental Mindoro, already dissipated as of Tuesday night. This LPA had crossed Southern Luzon final weekend.
However a brand new LPA shaped outdoors PAR, situated 1,320 kilometers east of southeastern Luzon as of 8 pm on Tuesday.
The brand new LPA has a medium likelihood of creating right into a tropical despair inside 24 hours, in response to the climate bureau. Extra updates are anticipated within the coming days.
ALSO ON RAPPLER
PAGASA earlier mentioned that the southwest monsoon or habagat can be inflicting scattered rain and thunderstorms in Mimaropa, Western Visayas, Negros Island Area, Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao, Bangsamoro Autonomous Area in Muslim Mindanao, and Soccsksargen. Remoted rain showers or thunderstorms, in the meantime, are seen in Central Visayas.
The southwest monsoon is bringing robust to gale-force gusts to those areas as effectively:
Wednesday, September 17
- southern a part of Quezon, remainder of Camarines Norte not underneath Sign No. 1, Marinduque, Romblon, southern a part of Occidental Mindoro, southern a part of Oriental Mindoro, Panay Island
Thursday, September 18
- Panay Island, Palawan, Occidental Mindoro, Oriental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, southern a part of Quezon, Camarines Norte, Isabela, Cagayan together with Babuyan Islands, Batanes, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan
Friday, September 19
- Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, La Union, Pangasinan, Zambales, Bataan
– Rappler.com